Updated 2 years ago
Ironic that despite all their efforts, dictators actually accelerate their nation’s fall. And the more they try to win, the greater and faster their’s state’s descent. History backs this up, although a few minor small exceptions such as Singapore and Chile (and that is debatable because the dictators were temporary and benevolent in the long term)
I see destitution on a level now seen outside North Korea in Russia’s future, unless 1990 somehow repeats itself. It’s inevitably going to get broken up (click to expand):
Will Turkey and China eventually suffer the same fate? Yes, but possibly not in our lifetimes if you are Gen X or older.
Because even if Russia were to ever had “won” Ukraine, they would be pariahs cut off technologically and economically from the West.
Oil and gas you say? This will simply accelerate the development of solar, wind, and nuclear. Raw materials, you say? Russia has zero monopolies. The world is not a static garden of statues. It is a dynamic and moving chessboard.
And that brings up the most important resource of all by an order of magnitude: people. People vote with their feet. Brain drain is real. It kills dictatorships time and time again, see Iran, whose current incarnation, despite its current sovereignty is stunted compared to how it would have been. And it too will fall..
And say what you want about the West’s demise and a multipolar world, the West – and we include Japan, Taiwan South Korea, and now, yes, Ukraine here (welcome to the club!) – lead the way forward for humanity for the foreseeable future.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-may-have-wanted-to-restore-the-russian-empire-but-his-power-over-former-soviet-states-is-waning-as-his-invasion-of-ukraine-flounders/ar-AA12KLWP
